We have one heck of an opportunity over the past 48 hours, riding what has seemed like a private seam of pressure that we have only had to share with Vanquish and Norddeutsche Vermoegen Hamburg. As a result, we have clawed back something like 200 miles that Concise was able to put on us with their brilliant run in the middle of last week. Now comes the tricky bit, as our low pressure catches up to their high pressure.

Are we far enough out on the leading edge of our system that it will pull us right up to their stern? How will the passing lanes play out as we cross below Ireland? Will we end up in the same mess they have been wallowing in?

Questions to ponder over our oatmeal this very chilly morning.